NeuralMET

DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
  

EGAC -- Belfast City United Kingdom (54.6181, -5.8725)

METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)

Date & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees TrueFlight Category
9/17/2019 1:50:00 AM11.08.037001.5FEW10266.214.0290VFR

NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)

Hours aheadDate & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True Flight Category
0.59/17/2019 2:20:00 AM10.58.040392.6SCT10255.944.4251VFR
19/17/2019 2:50:00 AM10.58.037222.7SCT10255.844.3241VFR
39/17/2019 4:50:00 AM10.27.635182.7SCT10255.724.9201VFR
69/17/2019 7:50:00 AM12.77.734333.3SCT10265.835.6204VFR
129/17/2019 1:50:00 PM12.06.835351.5FEW10255.664.8171VFR
249/18/2019 1:50:00 AM10.27.628982.9SCT10205.816.2196MVFR
369/18/2019 1:50:00 PM11.97.232052.7SCT10216.026.0151VFR
489/19/2019 1:50:00 AM11.28.832443.0SCT10216.086.2157VFR
729/20/2019 1:50:00 AM11.39.832503.4SCT10195.907.8172VFR

Forecast Historical Performance

Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms) since last model update on 2019-09-12 18:25:35. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours aheadSamples (in avg)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)QNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True
0.5320.7 [0.5] (1.3)0.6 [0.5] (0.7)694 [491] (446)2.2 [2.0] (2.2)1 [0] (1)0.36 [0.00] (0.00)1.4 [1.5] (1.4)97 [116] (59)
1310.8 [0.6] (1.3)0.8 [0.6] (0.7)876 [549] (446)2.4 [2.3] (2.2)1 [1] (1)0.26 [0.00] (0.00)1.6 [1.8] (1.4)78 [82] (59)
3271.1 [1.2] (1.3)1.0 [0.8] (0.7)853 [582] (446)3.3 [2.9] (2.2)1 [1] (1)0.34 [0.00] (0.00)1.5 [1.9] (1.4)81 [84] (59)
6212.2 [1.8] (1.3)1.2 [1.1] (0.7)882 [630] (446)3.8 [3.1] (2.2)1 [1] (1)0.64 [0.00] (0.00)1.7 [2.6] (1.4)93 [108] (59)
1291.5 [2.6] (1.3)2.1 [1.2] (0.7)523 [815] (446)4.0 [2.5] (2.2)4 [1] (1)0.29 [0.00] (0.00)1.6 [1.7] (1.4)91 [139] (59)
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Forecast Charts

Forecast Historical Performance Charts

[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]