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NeuralMET
DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
EGNS
EGNS -- Ronaldsway Isle of Man United Kingdom (54.0833, -4.62389)
METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)
Date & Time (UTC)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
Clouds
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
Flight Category
10/28/2020 5:20:00 PM
10.0
5.0
2800
3.5
SCT
995
6.21
21.0
260
VFR
NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)
Hours ahead
Date & Time (UTC)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
Clouds
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
Flight Category
0.5
10/28/2020 5:50:00 PM
9.7
4.9
2601
2.8
SCT
1002
6.18
20.5
253
MVFR
1
10/28/2020 6:20:00 PM
9.5
5.1
2444
2.1
FEW
1002
6.16
21.1
254
MVFR
3
10/28/2020 8:20:00 PM
9.2
5.2
2371
2.0
FEW
1002
6.01
20.9
244
MVFR
6
10/28/2020 11:20:00 PM
8.9
5.2
2190
2.7
SCT
1001
6.05
17.7
254
MVFR
12
10/29/2020 5:20:00 AM
8.1
5.3
2111
2.3
FEW
1001
6.10
18.3
253
MVFR
24
10/29/2020 5:20:00 PM
8.1
4.1
2418
2.3
FEW
1003
5.62
10.5
251
MVFR
36
10/30/2020 5:20:00 AM
7.9
3.2
2295
2.1
FEW
1004
5.99
7.9
199
MVFR
48
10/30/2020 5:20:00 PM
9.8
4.4
2396
2.3
FEW
1006
6.14
8.6
205
MVFR
72
10/31/2020 5:20:00 PM
11.1
7.3
1517
2.6
SCT
1007
5.96
15.0
163
MVFR
Forecast Historical Performance
Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms)
since last model update on 2020-06-17 22:59:01. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours ahead
Samples (in avg)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
0.5
0
1
144
0.6 [0.7] (2.4)
0.8 [0.8] (3.2)
765 [751] (1520)
1.5 [1.7] (1.9)
5 [1] (10)
0.53 [0.73] (1.04)
2.6 [2.7] (6.3)
89 [112] (99)
3
374
1.1 [1.3] (2.4)
1.3 [1.4] (3.2)
1023 [1148] (1520)
1.7 [2.1] (1.9)
6 [1] (10)
0.95 [1.17] (1.04)
3.6 [3.8] (6.3)
82 [108] (99)
6
170
1.7 [2.0] (2.4)
1.6 [1.6] (3.2)
1419 [1623] (1520)
1.9 [2.5] (1.9)
6 [2] (10)
0.81 [1.14] (1.04)
4.7 [5.1] (6.3)
95 [109] (99)
12
326
2.3 [2.7] (2.4)
2.3 [2.2] (3.2)
1444 [1875] (1520)
1.9 [2.5] (1.9)
5 [4] (10)
1.20 [1.55] (1.04)
5.6 [6.5] (6.3)
94 [110] (99)
24
310
1.7 [1.6] (2.4)
2.3 [2.6] (3.2)
1575 [2034] (1520)
2.0 [2.7] (1.9)
8 [6] (10)
1.08 [1.50] (1.04)
6.5 [7.6] (6.3)
98 [129] (99)
36
229
2.6 [2.7] (2.4)
2.8 [3.2] (3.2)
1442 [1997] (1520)
2.0 [2.8] (1.9)
9 [9] (10)
1.35 [1.70] (1.04)
6.5 [8.7] (6.3)
101 [125] (99)
48
311
2.2 [2.1] (2.4)
2.9 [3.4] (3.2)
1529 [1989] (1520)
2.0 [2.7] (1.9)
10 [10] (10)
1.14 [1.39] (1.04)
6.9 [9.1] (6.3)
102 [135] (99)
72
256
2.3 [2.3] (2.4)
3.2 [3.7] (3.2)
1704 [2187] (1520)
2.1 [2.5] (1.9)
10 [12] (10)
1.09 [1.42] (1.04)
6.0 [8.5] (6.3)
109 [136] (99)
Forecast Charts
Forecast Historical Performance Charts
[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]