NeuralMET

DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
  

EDDF -- Frankfurt am Main International Germany (50.0264, 8.54313)

METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)

Date & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees TrueFlight Category
2/17/2020 7:50:00 PM6.05.032001.5FEW10186.214.0190VFR

NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)

Hours aheadDate & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True Flight Category
0.52/17/2020 8:20:00 PM6.14.529931.4FEW10196.044.8170MVFR
12/17/2020 8:50:00 PM5.64.331401.5FEW10185.914.7185VFR
32/17/2020 10:50:00 PM4.62.830371.2FEW10195.694.8153VFR
62/18/2020 1:50:00 AM6.03.826611.5FEW10195.526.1184MVFR
122/18/2020 7:50:00 AM4.32.223431.3FEW10185.965.8167MVFR
242/18/2020 7:50:00 PM4.63.525671.5FEW10175.607.2201MVFR
362/19/2020 7:50:00 AM1.9-0.323482.0FEW10206.297.0175MVFR
482/19/2020 7:50:00 PM3.10.327891.2FEW10246.146.3151MVFR
722/20/2020 7:50:00 PM1.8-2.611011.1FEW10336.157.0162MVFR

Forecast Historical Performance

Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms) since last model update on 2019-09-15 10:20:15. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours aheadSamples (in avg)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)QNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True
0.5250.9 [0.6] (5.3)0.7 [0.6] (5.1)941 [878] (1762)0.7 [0.6] (1.9)2 [1] (10)0.49 [0.32] (1.32)2.1 [2.3] (4.3)76 [56] (93)
1501.0 [0.7] (5.3)0.8 [0.6] (5.1)848 [783] (1762)1.5 [1.4] (1.9)3 [1] (10)0.46 [0.26] (1.32)2.1 [1.9] (4.3)83 [102] (93)
3921.5 [1.8] (5.3)1.4 [1.3] (5.1)1483 [1562] (1762)1.6 [1.8] (1.9)3 [1] (10)1.00 [1.20] (1.32)2.8 [3.2] (4.3)78 [100] (93)
6992.8 [3.2] (5.3)2.0 [1.7] (5.1)1367 [1683] (1762)1.7 [2.7] (1.9)5 [3] (10)1.35 [1.15] (1.32)3.5 [4.0] (4.3)85 [106] (93)
121103.6 [4.5] (5.3)2.5 [2.6] (5.1)1734 [2277] (1762)2.1 [2.7] (1.9)6 [5] (10)1.32 [1.29] (1.32)4.4 [5.3] (4.3)91 [103] (93)
241053.2 [3.1] (5.3)3.6 [2.8] (5.1)1822 [2284] (1762)2.3 [2.5] (1.9)9 [8] (10)1.45 [1.63] (1.32)4.3 [4.9] (4.3)87 [108] (93)
361013.5 [4.7] (5.3)4.0 [3.4] (5.1)2001 [2573] (1762)1.9 [2.4] (1.9)10 [10] (10)1.30 [1.53] (1.32)4.3 [5.9] (4.3)98 [135] (93)
481093.7 [3.7] (5.3)3.4 [3.2] (5.1)1765 [1994] (1762)1.5 [2.1] (1.9)12 [11] (10)1.62 [1.64] (1.32)4.6 [6.1] (4.3)96 [126] (93)
721114.1 [3.8] (5.3)4.1 [3.6] (5.1)2101 [2576] (1762)2.1 [2.8] (1.9)11 [12] (10)1.60 [1.93] (1.32)4.3 [5.8] (4.3)98 [131] (93)

Forecast Charts

Forecast Historical Performance Charts

[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]