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DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
EGAC
EGNH
EGNS
EGPF
EGPK
KLAX
KSFO
EGAC -- Belfast City United Kingdom (54.6181, -5.8725)
METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)
Date & Time (UTC)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
Clouds
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
Flight Category
8/13/2018 8:20:00 PM
17.0
13.0
4100
5.5
BKN
1011
6.21
1.0
0
VFR
NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)
Hours ahead
Date & Time (UTC)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
Clouds
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
Flight Category
0.5
8/13/2018 8:50:00 PM
15.8
12.5
6992
4.6
BKN
1014
6.00
2.5
51
VFR
1
8/13/2018 9:20:00 PM
15.3
12.7
6949
3.6
SCT
1014
5.88
3.1
78
VFR
3
8/13/2018 11:20:00 PM
14.1
12.3
7331
3.3
SCT
1015
5.58
3.6
76
VFR
6
8/14/2018 2:20:00 AM
15.4
12.6
7250
4.7
BKN
1014
5.00
5.5
54
MVFR
12
8/14/2018 8:20:00 AM
16.8
11.5
5086
5.3
BKN
1016
4.91
4.5
96
MVFR
24
8/14/2018 8:20:00 PM
16.9
11.8
7363
3.7
SCT
1015
5.20
4.8
85
VFR
36
8/15/2018 8:20:00 AM
15.6
11.4
7734
0.0
CLR
1016
5.14
4.2
91
VFR
48
8/15/2018 8:20:00 PM
17.7
11.9
8377
5.0
BKN
1018
5.52
3.1
81
VFR
72
8/16/2018 8:20:00 PM
17.2
11.6
8690
4.1
SCT
1016
6.05
5.9
137
VFR
Forecast Historical Performance
Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms)
since last model update on 2018-06-10 09:56:53. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours ahead
Samples (in avg)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
0.5
331
1.2 [0.7] (3.5)
1.2 [0.6] (2.6)
2182 [779] (1460)
1.9 [1.9] (2.6)
3 [0] (7)
0.71 [0.78] (0.85)
1.9 [1.7] (3.7)
102 [92] (120)
1
515
1.4 [1.1] (3.5)
1.4 [0.8] (2.6)
2082 [906] (1460)
2.1 [2.1] (2.6)
3 [0] (7)
0.61 [0.61] (0.85)
2.0 [1.9] (3.7)
113 [94] (120)
3
483
2.0 [2.3] (3.5)
1.7 [1.4] (2.6)
2099 [1127] (1460)
2.3 [2.5] (2.6)
4 [1] (7)
0.71 [0.76] (0.85)
3.0 [3.0] (3.7)
117 [106] (120)
6
449
2.6 [3.9] (3.5)
2.2 [1.9] (2.6)
2306 [1400] (1460)
2.4 [2.8] (2.6)
4 [2] (7)
0.78 [0.93] (0.85)
3.5 [4.1] (3.7)
130 [121] (120)
12
394
3.3 [5.4] (3.5)
2.6 [2.7] (2.6)
1948 [1645] (1460)
2.6 [2.8] (2.6)
5 [3] (7)
0.98 [1.02] (0.85)
3.8 [5.3] (3.7)
131 [142] (120)
24
362
2.3 [2.6] (3.5)
2.4 [3.1] (2.6)
2139 [1583] (1460)
2.4 [2.7] (2.6)
6 [5] (7)
0.70 [0.87] (0.85)
3.4 [4.2] (3.7)
145 [163] (120)
36
321
3.2 [5.5] (3.5)
2.5 [3.4] (2.6)
2558 [1810] (1460)
3.0 [3.2] (2.6)
7 [7] (7)
0.93 [1.22] (0.85)
4.2 [6.3] (3.7)
137 [175] (120)
48
317
2.6 [3.1] (3.5)
2.6 [3.4] (2.6)
2432 [1753] (1460)
2.6 [3.0] (2.6)
7 [7] (7)
0.98 [1.10] (0.85)
3.7 [4.5] (3.7)
147 [164] (120)
72
350
2.6 [3.4] (3.5)
2.8 [3.7] (2.6)
2621 [1838] (1460)
2.5 [3.3] (2.6)
7 [8] (7)
1.09 [1.17] (0.85)
3.2 [4.7] (3.7)
133 [164] (120)
Forecast Charts
Forecast Historical Performance Charts
[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]