NeuralMET

DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
  

EGNS -- Ronaldsway Isle of Man United Kingdom (54.0833, -4.62389)

METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)

Date & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees TrueFlight Category
10/28/2020 5:20:00 PM10.05.028003.5SCT9956.2121.0260VFR

NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)

Hours aheadDate & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True Flight Category
0.510/28/2020 5:50:00 PM9.74.926012.8SCT10026.1820.5253MVFR
110/28/2020 6:20:00 PM9.55.124442.1FEW10026.1621.1254MVFR
310/28/2020 8:20:00 PM9.25.223712.0FEW10026.0120.9244MVFR
610/28/2020 11:20:00 PM8.95.221902.7SCT10016.0517.7254MVFR
1210/29/2020 5:20:00 AM8.15.321112.3FEW10016.1018.3253MVFR
2410/29/2020 5:20:00 PM8.14.124182.3FEW10035.6210.5251MVFR
3610/30/2020 5:20:00 AM7.93.222952.1FEW10045.997.9199MVFR
4810/30/2020 5:20:00 PM9.84.423962.3FEW10066.148.6205MVFR
7210/31/2020 5:20:00 PM11.17.315172.6SCT10075.9615.0163MVFR

Forecast Historical Performance

Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms) since last model update on 2020-06-17 22:59:01. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours aheadSamples (in avg)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)QNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True
0.50        
11440.6 [0.7] (2.4)0.8 [0.8] (3.2)765 [751] (1520)1.5 [1.7] (1.9)5 [1] (10)0.53 [0.73] (1.04)2.6 [2.7] (6.3)89 [112] (99)
33741.1 [1.3] (2.4)1.3 [1.4] (3.2)1023 [1148] (1520)1.7 [2.1] (1.9)6 [1] (10)0.95 [1.17] (1.04)3.6 [3.8] (6.3)82 [108] (99)
61701.7 [2.0] (2.4)1.6 [1.6] (3.2)1419 [1623] (1520)1.9 [2.5] (1.9)6 [2] (10)0.81 [1.14] (1.04)4.7 [5.1] (6.3)95 [109] (99)
123262.3 [2.7] (2.4)2.3 [2.2] (3.2)1444 [1875] (1520)1.9 [2.5] (1.9)5 [4] (10)1.20 [1.55] (1.04)5.6 [6.5] (6.3)94 [110] (99)
243101.7 [1.6] (2.4)2.3 [2.6] (3.2)1575 [2034] (1520)2.0 [2.7] (1.9)8 [6] (10)1.08 [1.50] (1.04)6.5 [7.6] (6.3)98 [129] (99)
362292.6 [2.7] (2.4)2.8 [3.2] (3.2)1442 [1997] (1520)2.0 [2.8] (1.9)9 [9] (10)1.35 [1.70] (1.04)6.5 [8.7] (6.3)101 [125] (99)
483112.2 [2.1] (2.4)2.9 [3.4] (3.2)1529 [1989] (1520)2.0 [2.7] (1.9)10 [10] (10)1.14 [1.39] (1.04)6.9 [9.1] (6.3)102 [135] (99)
722562.3 [2.3] (2.4)3.2 [3.7] (3.2)1704 [2187] (1520)2.1 [2.5] (1.9)10 [12] (10)1.09 [1.42] (1.04)6.0 [8.5] (6.3)109 [136] (99)

Forecast Charts

Forecast Historical Performance Charts

[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]