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DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
EGNS
EGNS -- Ronaldsway Isle of Man United Kingdom (54.0833, -4.62389)
METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)
Date & Time (UTC)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
Clouds
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
Flight Category
8/10/2020 4:50:00 AM
17.0
14.0
3000
1.5
FEW
1018
6.21
11.0
70
VFR
NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)
Hours ahead
Date & Time (UTC)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
Clouds
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
Flight Category
0.5
8/10/2020 5:20:00 AM
17.0
13.8
2837
1.7
FEW
1015
6.19
10.9
69
MVFR
1
8/10/2020 5:50:00 AM
17.0
14.1
2475
2.1
FEW
1024
6.17
10.3
73
MVFR
3
8/10/2020 7:50:00 AM
17.5
15.1
2643
2.1
FEW
1023
6.15
11.7
95
MVFR
6
8/10/2020 10:50:00 AM
18.9
14.1
2434
1.9
FEW
1022
5.34
10.5
72
MVFR
12
8/10/2020 4:50:00 PM
17.4
15.0
1702
4.8
BKN
1017
5.64
11.8
104
MVFR
24
8/11/2020 4:50:00 AM
16.4
15.0
1715
2.8
SCT
1021
5.54
8.3
128
MVFR
36
8/11/2020 4:50:00 PM
16.5
14.6
1188
2.7
SCT
1020
5.30
7.6
197
MVFR
48
8/12/2020 4:50:00 AM
14.2
13.8
797
2.6
SCT
1018
6.00
11.2
224
IFR
72
8/13/2020 4:50:00 AM
16.0
14.1
1013
4.2
SCT
1017
5.55
10.6
236
MVFR
Forecast Historical Performance
Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms)
since last model update on 2020-06-17 22:59:01. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours ahead
Samples (in avg)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
0.5
0
1
100
0.6 [0.7] (1.9)
0.7 [0.8] (2.2)
765 [750] (1573)
1.5 [1.7] (2.0)
3 [1] (8)
0.55 [0.62] (1.08)
2.7 [2.8] (6.3)
86 [104] (99)
3
244
1.1 [1.3] (1.9)
1.3 [1.3] (2.2)
1047 [1190] (1573)
1.8 [2.1] (2.0)
5 [1] (8)
1.05 [1.30] (1.08)
3.6 [3.9] (6.3)
85 [104] (99)
6
114
1.6 [1.9] (1.9)
1.5 [1.5] (2.2)
1421 [1709] (1573)
2.0 [2.6] (2.0)
5 [2] (8)
0.90 [1.14] (1.08)
4.6 [4.9] (6.3)
96 [110] (99)
12
232
2.5 [2.6] (1.9)
2.3 [2.1] (2.2)
1545 [1963] (1573)
1.9 [2.5] (2.0)
4 [4] (8)
1.20 [1.59] (1.08)
5.6 [6.6] (6.3)
93 [104] (99)
24
221
1.6 [1.6] (1.9)
2.4 [2.5] (2.2)
1664 [2090] (1573)
2.1 [2.8] (2.0)
7 [6] (8)
1.09 [1.42] (1.08)
6.2 [8.1] (6.3)
104 [135] (99)
36
161
2.5 [2.7] (1.9)
2.6 [3.1] (2.2)
1505 [2092] (1573)
2.1 [2.9] (2.0)
8 [8] (8)
1.42 [1.74] (1.08)
6.1 [9.2] (6.3)
100 [119] (99)
48
210
2.0 [1.8] (1.9)
2.7 [3.0] (2.2)
1657 [2177] (1573)
2.1 [2.9] (2.0)
8 [9] (8)
1.21 [1.50] (1.08)
6.7 [10.2] (6.3)
105 [134] (99)
72
183
2.1 [2.0] (1.9)
2.8 [3.2] (2.2)
1810 [2344] (1573)
2.2 [2.6] (2.0)
9 [11] (8)
1.15 [1.44] (1.08)
5.9 [8.6] (6.3)
107 [137] (99)
Forecast Charts
Forecast Historical Performance Charts
[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]