NeuralMET

DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
  

EDDF -- Frankfurt am Main International Germany (50.0264, 8.54313)

METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)

Date & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees TrueFlight Category
3/7/2020 4:50:00 AM5.00.034003.5SCT10136.216.0270VFR

NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)

Hours aheadDate & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True Flight Category
0.53/7/2020 5:20:00 AM5.10.628952.4FEW10136.047.0246MVFR
13/7/2020 5:50:00 AM4.90.428952.2FEW10145.828.1240MVFR
33/7/2020 7:50:00 AM6.10.625762.1FEW10165.328.4241MVFR
63/7/2020 10:50:00 AM7.21.324931.8FEW10165.4910.9221MVFR
123/7/2020 4:50:00 PM7.20.524711.3FEW10185.7910.7198MVFR
243/8/2020 4:50:00 AM0.9-0.725261.7FEW10195.309.8195MVFR
363/8/2020 4:50:00 PM9.50.223972.0FEW10164.3213.4203MVFR
483/9/2020 4:50:00 AM2.90.126151.1FEW10115.7711.2209MVFR
723/10/2020 4:50:00 AM3.22.310681.2FEW10176.0012.5214MVFR

Forecast Historical Performance

Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms) since last model update on 2019-09-15 10:20:15. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours aheadSamples (in avg)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)QNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True
0.5250.9 [0.6] (5.2)0.7 [0.6] (5.1)941 [878] (1733)0.7 [0.6] (1.9)2 [1] (10)0.49 [0.32] (1.28)2.1 [2.3] (4.5)76 [56] (91)
1521.0 [0.7] (5.2)0.8 [0.7] (5.1)834 [772] (1733)1.5 [1.3] (1.9)3 [1] (10)0.45 [0.26] (1.28)2.1 [1.9] (4.5)81 [100] (91)
3991.5 [1.7] (5.2)1.4 [1.3] (5.1)1434 [1517] (1733)1.6 [1.8] (1.9)3 [2] (10)0.99 [1.15] (1.28)3.0 [3.4] (4.5)75 [97] (91)
61062.8 [3.1] (5.2)2.0 [1.7] (5.1)1360 [1661] (1733)1.6 [2.6] (1.9)5 [3] (10)1.32 [1.11] (1.28)3.6 [4.0] (4.5)82 [103] (91)
121173.5 [4.4] (5.2)2.5 [2.5] (5.1)1713 [2252] (1733)2.1 [2.8] (1.9)6 [5] (10)1.29 [1.26] (1.28)4.4 [5.3] (4.5)89 [100] (91)
241113.3 [3.1] (5.2)3.7 [2.9] (5.1)1812 [2281] (1733)2.3 [2.5] (1.9)10 [8] (10)1.41 [1.59] (1.28)4.6 [5.2] (4.5)85 [106] (91)
361053.5 [4.7] (5.2)4.0 [3.5] (5.1)1979 [2543] (1733)1.8 [2.4] (1.9)10 [10] (10)1.28 [1.50] (1.28)4.4 [5.8] (4.5)97 [132] (91)
481183.6 [3.8] (5.2)3.3 [3.2] (5.1)1743 [2026] (1733)1.7 [2.2] (1.9)12 [11] (10)1.56 [1.58] (1.28)4.7 [6.1] (4.5)96 [122] (91)
721194.1 [3.8] (5.2)4.0 [3.6] (5.1)2087 [2547] (1733)2.2 [2.8] (1.9)11 [12] (10)1.55 [1.91] (1.28)4.6 [5.8] (4.5)98 [127] (91)

Forecast Charts

Forecast Historical Performance Charts

[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]