NeuralMET

DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
  

EGNS -- Ronaldsway Isle of Man United Kingdom (54.0833, -4.62389)

METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)

Date & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees TrueFlight Category
10/29/2020 9:50:00 PM14.013.08001.5FEW10004.9725.0210MVFR

NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)

Hours aheadDate & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True Flight Category
0.510/29/2020 10:20:00 PM13.912.89392.3FEW9974.8024.5213MVFR
110/29/2020 10:50:00 PM13.812.412942.9SCT9995.3624.8211MVFR
310/30/2020 12:50:00 AM12.912.218493.4SCT10015.7422.0227MVFR
610/30/2020 3:50:00 AM13.210.818172.7SCT10015.9421.2233MVFR
1210/30/2020 9:50:00 AM12.09.018852.4FEW10025.6318.5215MVFR
2410/30/2020 9:50:00 PM10.46.312862.8SCT10035.738.2228MVFR
3610/31/2020 9:50:00 AM8.65.524633.3SCT10046.217.1219MVFR
4810/31/2020 9:50:00 PM8.47.118502.6SCT10065.465.0193MVFR
7211/1/2020 9:50:00 PM11.710.123294.5SCT10075.7617.3129MVFR

Forecast Historical Performance

Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms) since last model update on 2020-06-17 22:59:01. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours aheadSamples (in avg)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)QNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True
0.50        
11440.6 [0.7] (2.4)0.8 [0.8] (3.2)765 [751] (1516)1.5 [1.7] (1.9)5 [1] (10)0.53 [0.73] (1.04)2.6 [2.7] (6.4)89 [112] (99)
33791.1 [1.3] (2.4)1.3 [1.4] (3.2)1019 [1144] (1516)1.7 [2.1] (1.9)6 [1] (10)0.95 [1.17] (1.04)3.6 [3.8] (6.4)82 [108] (99)
61701.7 [2.0] (2.4)1.6 [1.6] (3.2)1419 [1623] (1516)1.9 [2.5] (1.9)6 [2] (10)0.81 [1.14] (1.04)4.7 [5.1] (6.4)95 [109] (99)
123342.4 [2.7] (2.4)2.4 [2.3] (3.2)1438 [1863] (1516)1.8 [2.5] (1.9)5 [4] (10)1.23 [1.56] (1.04)5.6 [6.5] (6.4)93 [108] (99)
243131.8 [1.6] (2.4)2.3 [2.6] (3.2)1567 [2025] (1516)2.0 [2.7] (1.9)8 [6] (10)1.08 [1.49] (1.04)6.5 [7.5] (6.4)98 [128] (99)
362322.6 [2.7] (2.4)2.9 [3.3] (3.2)1443 [1993] (1516)2.0 [2.8] (1.9)9 [9] (10)1.35 [1.69] (1.04)6.6 [8.7] (6.4)101 [125] (99)
483132.2 [2.1] (2.4)2.9 [3.4] (3.2)1524 [1984] (1516)2.0 [2.7] (1.9)10 [10] (10)1.14 [1.39] (1.04)6.9 [9.1] (6.4)102 [135] (99)
722562.3 [2.3] (2.4)3.2 [3.7] (3.2)1704 [2187] (1516)2.1 [2.5] (1.9)10 [12] (10)1.09 [1.42] (1.04)6.0 [8.5] (6.4)109 [136] (99)

Forecast Charts

Forecast Historical Performance Charts

[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]