NeuralMET

DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
  

EGNS -- Ronaldsway Isle of Man United Kingdom (54.0833, -4.62389)

METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)

Date & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees TrueFlight Category
4/20/2021 9:50:00 PM10.06.010001.5FEW10196.219.0360VFR

NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)

Hours aheadDate & Time (UTC)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)CloudsQNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True Flight Category
0.54/20/2021 10:20:00 PM9.22.911983.7SCT11195.8410.5342MVFR
14/20/2021 10:50:00 PM10.35.818398.0OVC10275.607.9301MVFR
34/21/2021 12:50:00 AM10.58.218818.0OVC12955.5112.1313MVFR
64/21/2021 3:50:00 AM4.94.925530.0CLR10635.7812.5251MVFR
124/21/2021 9:50:00 AM7.56.833421.8FEW10845.829.8231VFR
244/21/2021 9:50:00 PM7.78.235270.0CLR10665.9611.5247VFR
364/22/2021 9:50:00 AM8.06.734841.7FEW10465.798.6173VFR

Forecast Historical Performance

Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms) since last model update on 2021-04-08 00:00:00. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours aheadSamples (in avg)Temp. (C)Dewpoint (C)Cloud base (ft)Clouds (oktas)QNH (hPa)Visibility (miles)Windspeed (kts)Degrees True
0.5362.5 [0.6] (2.3)4.0 [0.7] (3.6)1027 [742] (1207)1.6 [0.4] (0.6)62 [0] (8)0.37 [0.00] (0.00)1.8 [1.3] (2.2)126 [139] (125)
1523.6 [0.8] (2.3)5.9 [1.0] (3.6)1019 [1072] (1207)6.9 [0.5] (0.6)147 [0] (8)0.26 [0.52] (0.00)1.9 [1.6] (2.2)112 [130] (125)
3323.7 [1.4] (2.3)5.2 [1.5] (3.6)1841 [2044] (1207)6.9 [0.9] (0.6)222 [1] (8)0.26 [0.66] (0.00)4.9 [3.2] (2.2)116 [152] (125)
6103.9 [2.0] (2.3)2.4 [1.7] (3.6)1855 [1959] (1207)4.9 [0.7] (0.6)46 [1] (8)0.43 [1.18] (0.00)4.0 [4.8] (2.2)159 [213] (125)
1261.7 [5.4] (2.3)4.6 [1.7] (3.6)1031 [2092] (1207)0.3 [1.5] (0.6)148 [1] (8)0.39 [0.00] (0.00)1.6 [3.0] (2.2)24 [86] (125)
240        
3661.3 [0.6] (2.3)12.3 [7.6] (3.6)1687 [1777] (1207)0.2 [1.1] (0.6)55 [6] (8)0.36 [1.52] (0.00)2.2 [5.6] (2.2)199 [141] (125)
4873.6 [1.5] (2.3)6.2 [4.0] (3.6)1930 [619] (1207)6.5 [0.0] (0.6)115 [12] (8)0.51 [0.00] (0.00)6.2 [2.6] (2.2)82 [157] (125)
7260.4 [1.7] (2.3)0.6 [4.2] (3.6)1297 [866] (1207)1.5 [0.0] (0.6)114 [5] (8)1.21 [0.00] (0.00)4.2 [2.7] (2.2)16 [148] (125)

Forecast Charts

Forecast Historical Performance Charts

[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]