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NeuralMET
DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
EGNS
EGNS -- Ronaldsway Isle of Man United Kingdom (54.0833, -4.62389)
METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)
Date & Time (UTC)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
Clouds
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
Flight Category
10/29/2020 9:50:00 PM
14.0
13.0
800
1.5
FEW
1000
4.97
25.0
210
MVFR
NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)
Hours ahead
Date & Time (UTC)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
Clouds
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
Flight Category
0.5
10/29/2020 10:20:00 PM
13.9
12.8
939
2.3
FEW
997
4.80
24.5
213
MVFR
1
10/29/2020 10:50:00 PM
13.8
12.4
1294
2.9
SCT
999
5.36
24.8
211
MVFR
3
10/30/2020 12:50:00 AM
12.9
12.2
1849
3.4
SCT
1001
5.74
22.0
227
MVFR
6
10/30/2020 3:50:00 AM
13.2
10.8
1817
2.7
SCT
1001
5.94
21.2
233
MVFR
12
10/30/2020 9:50:00 AM
12.0
9.0
1885
2.4
FEW
1002
5.63
18.5
215
MVFR
24
10/30/2020 9:50:00 PM
10.4
6.3
1286
2.8
SCT
1003
5.73
8.2
228
MVFR
36
10/31/2020 9:50:00 AM
8.6
5.5
2463
3.3
SCT
1004
6.21
7.1
219
MVFR
48
10/31/2020 9:50:00 PM
8.4
7.1
1850
2.6
SCT
1006
5.46
5.0
193
MVFR
72
11/1/2020 9:50:00 PM
11.7
10.1
2329
4.5
SCT
1007
5.76
17.3
129
MVFR
Forecast Historical Performance
Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms)
since last model update on 2020-06-17 22:59:01. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours ahead
Samples (in avg)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
0.5
0
1
144
0.6 [0.7] (2.4)
0.8 [0.8] (3.2)
765 [751] (1516)
1.5 [1.7] (1.9)
5 [1] (10)
0.53 [0.73] (1.04)
2.6 [2.7] (6.4)
89 [112] (99)
3
379
1.1 [1.3] (2.4)
1.3 [1.4] (3.2)
1019 [1144] (1516)
1.7 [2.1] (1.9)
6 [1] (10)
0.95 [1.17] (1.04)
3.6 [3.8] (6.4)
82 [108] (99)
6
170
1.7 [2.0] (2.4)
1.6 [1.6] (3.2)
1419 [1623] (1516)
1.9 [2.5] (1.9)
6 [2] (10)
0.81 [1.14] (1.04)
4.7 [5.1] (6.4)
95 [109] (99)
12
334
2.4 [2.7] (2.4)
2.4 [2.3] (3.2)
1438 [1863] (1516)
1.8 [2.5] (1.9)
5 [4] (10)
1.23 [1.56] (1.04)
5.6 [6.5] (6.4)
93 [108] (99)
24
313
1.8 [1.6] (2.4)
2.3 [2.6] (3.2)
1567 [2025] (1516)
2.0 [2.7] (1.9)
8 [6] (10)
1.08 [1.49] (1.04)
6.5 [7.5] (6.4)
98 [128] (99)
36
232
2.6 [2.7] (2.4)
2.9 [3.3] (3.2)
1443 [1993] (1516)
2.0 [2.8] (1.9)
9 [9] (10)
1.35 [1.69] (1.04)
6.6 [8.7] (6.4)
101 [125] (99)
48
313
2.2 [2.1] (2.4)
2.9 [3.4] (3.2)
1524 [1984] (1516)
2.0 [2.7] (1.9)
10 [10] (10)
1.14 [1.39] (1.04)
6.9 [9.1] (6.4)
102 [135] (99)
72
256
2.3 [2.3] (2.4)
3.2 [3.7] (3.2)
1704 [2187] (1516)
2.1 [2.5] (1.9)
10 [12] (10)
1.09 [1.42] (1.04)
6.0 [8.5] (6.4)
109 [136] (99)
Forecast Charts
Forecast Historical Performance Charts
[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]