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NeuralMET
DISCLAIMER: This is an EXPERIMENTAL site exploring the use of Artificial Intelligence for aviation weather prediction. The forecasts presented cannot be assumed to be accurate and are used entirely AT YOUR OWN RISK
EGNS
EGNS -- Ronaldsway Isle of Man United Kingdom (54.0833, -4.62389)
METAR (actual weather observation from US NOAA/NWS, updated every half-hour or so)
Date & Time (UTC)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
Clouds
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
Flight Category
4/20/2021 9:50:00 PM
10.0
6.0
1000
1.5
FEW
1019
6.21
9.0
360
VFR
NeuralMET Forecasts (via FlyLogical Deep Learning Neural Networks, refreshed every half-hour or so)
Hours ahead
Date & Time (UTC)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
Clouds
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
Flight Category
0.5
4/20/2021 10:20:00 PM
9.2
2.9
1198
3.7
SCT
1119
5.84
10.5
342
MVFR
1
4/20/2021 10:50:00 PM
10.3
5.8
1839
8.0
OVC
1027
5.60
7.9
301
MVFR
3
4/21/2021 12:50:00 AM
10.5
8.2
1881
8.0
OVC
1295
5.51
12.1
313
MVFR
6
4/21/2021 3:50:00 AM
4.9
4.9
2553
0.0
CLR
1063
5.78
12.5
251
MVFR
12
4/21/2021 9:50:00 AM
7.5
6.8
3342
1.8
FEW
1084
5.82
9.8
231
VFR
24
4/21/2021 9:50:00 PM
7.7
8.2
3527
0.0
CLR
1066
5.96
11.5
247
VFR
36
4/22/2021 9:50:00 AM
8.0
6.7
3484
1.7
FEW
1046
5.79
8.6
173
VFR
Forecast Historical Performance
Neural Network Forecast average errors (rms)
since last model update on 2021-04-08 00:00:00. Naive estimate (ZOH) errors in square brackets for comparison. Standard deviation of observations in round brackets.
Hours ahead
Samples (in avg)
Temp. (C)
Dewpoint (C)
Cloud base (ft)
Clouds (oktas)
QNH (hPa)
Visibility (miles)
Windspeed (kts)
Degrees True
0.5
36
2.5 [0.6] (2.3)
4.0 [0.7] (3.6)
1027 [742] (1207)
1.6 [0.4] (0.6)
62 [0] (8)
0.37 [0.00] (0.00)
1.8 [1.3] (2.2)
126 [139] (125)
1
52
3.6 [0.8] (2.3)
5.9 [1.0] (3.6)
1019 [1072] (1207)
6.9 [0.5] (0.6)
147 [0] (8)
0.26 [0.52] (0.00)
1.9 [1.6] (2.2)
112 [130] (125)
3
32
3.7 [1.4] (2.3)
5.2 [1.5] (3.6)
1841 [2044] (1207)
6.9 [0.9] (0.6)
222 [1] (8)
0.26 [0.66] (0.00)
4.9 [3.2] (2.2)
116 [152] (125)
6
10
3.9 [2.0] (2.3)
2.4 [1.7] (3.6)
1855 [1959] (1207)
4.9 [0.7] (0.6)
46 [1] (8)
0.43 [1.18] (0.00)
4.0 [4.8] (2.2)
159 [213] (125)
12
6
1.7 [5.4] (2.3)
4.6 [1.7] (3.6)
1031 [2092] (1207)
0.3 [1.5] (0.6)
148 [1] (8)
0.39 [0.00] (0.00)
1.6 [3.0] (2.2)
24 [86] (125)
24
0
36
6
1.3 [0.6] (2.3)
12.3 [7.6] (3.6)
1687 [1777] (1207)
0.2 [1.1] (0.6)
55 [6] (8)
0.36 [1.52] (0.00)
2.2 [5.6] (2.2)
199 [141] (125)
48
7
3.6 [1.5] (2.3)
6.2 [4.0] (3.6)
1930 [619] (1207)
6.5 [0.0] (0.6)
115 [12] (8)
0.51 [0.00] (0.00)
6.2 [2.6] (2.2)
82 [157] (125)
72
6
0.4 [1.7] (2.3)
0.6 [4.2] (3.6)
1297 [866] (1207)
1.5 [0.0] (0.6)
114 [5] (8)
1.21 [0.00] (0.00)
4.2 [2.7] (2.2)
16 [148] (125)
Forecast Charts
Forecast Historical Performance Charts
[Click here for recent plots of historical performance for all ICAOs]